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Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 2)  en>fr fr>en
By shonPremium member Comments: 717, member since Thu Mar 11, 1999
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:51 PM

First, read this thread to understand what a prediction market is:

fuckfrance.com . . .

Then visit:

www.fuckfrance.com . . .

Remember that a mod will need to approve each new event before it goes live.

Also note that this is alpha-level code, so please report any bugs or suggestions. It may be necessary to reset the standings if we discover a significant bug or abuse, etc.

Otherwise, have fun!

p.s. The deadline time is based on the server's time, which is US Central Time which (I believe) corresponds to GMT -6. A future update will let you use your own timezone.
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39 Replies to Prediction Market now open for business!


re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By WilyB Comments: 18577, member since Sat Apr 26, 2003
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:54 PM

I predict this site will crash before Summer.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By BlitzGaulAgain Comments: 13880, member since Fri Sep 09, 2005
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:56 PM

I predict that Wily will die of heart disease.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By Cazeilles Comments: 8296, member since Wed Apr 09, 2003
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:56 PM

Is this going to improve cache file ?

I think I should post this in the prediction market :]
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By WilyB Comments: 18577, member since Sat Apr 26, 2003
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:58 PM

I predict that Wily will die of heart disease.


Waana bet on that one Gaul?
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By Global_Villagemember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 5587, member since Sun Aug 07, 2005
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:59 PM

I predict Clitz will finally grow hair on his nuts!
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By Flamin_Peugot Comments: 1775, member since Tue Feb 13, 2007
On Fri May 18, 2007 05:59 PM

I predict a riot

In France
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By starspangled Comments: 21223, member since Sat Dec 27, 2003
On Fri May 18, 2007 06:01 PM

I predict that Wily will die of heart disease.

Amen, brother. Fuck that fat bastard with a dagger in the heart.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By shonPremium member Comments: 717, member since Thu Mar 11, 1999
On Fri May 18, 2007 06:10 PM
Edited by shon (5) on 2007-05-18 18:16:36 added details

So far, there are two crappy entries:

Prediction entry by WilyB:
I predict this site will crash before Summer. 20K


This is too vague. You'd need to define crash (eg., unplanned server outage that lasts at least six hours, not a network outage). And even if it wasn't vague, it still fails the interesting event test.

Prediction entry by USA_uber_alles:

I predict this is the first prediction game ever submitted to mods approval

May 18, 2007, 6:00pm FF time


Well, Wily's entry beat yours, but neither were approved, so your prediction has already failed before it got out of the gate.

Lame, lame! Neither of these were approved.

Let's try for some quality for the inaugural launch! First person to come up with a good prediction that is approved will be absolutely famous!

Try picking a good sports game that will happen soon and will interest people. Or something political that is bound to happen. Remember that if no one takes the opposing side(s), the winners won't get any karma. So the event has to be somewhat controversial to work.

Also, you need to define the pro/con conditions rigorously if it's not immediately clear.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By USA_VET Comments: 3050, member since Sat Mar 20, 2004
On Fri May 18, 2007 06:19 PM

I predict frenchlover of cocks will be banned within a week
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By shonPremium member Comments: 717, member since Thu Mar 11, 1999
On Fri May 18, 2007 09:07 PM

OK, I created a couple of events: Israel vs Iran, and the Tour de France. Buy your contracts now: www.fuckfrance.com . . .
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By TheFroginatormember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 6880, member since Wed May 25, 2005
On Fri May 18, 2007 09:11 PM

I just threw 20 down for the US to win the tour de France.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By muhad_eezbaq Comments: 2331, member since Wed Apr 11, 2007
On Fri May 18, 2007 10:33 PM

Try picking a good sports game that will happen soon and will interest people.

like competitive suBurBQ? I predict that in this late spring/summer session, Strassburg will crush Paris.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By Whatchamacallitmember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 33171, member since Fri Nov 14, 2003
On Fri May 18, 2007 11:42 PM

Four years ago when I stressed that mejicoons and beaners should be kicked out of the US, everyone made fun of my face.

When I posted that self-defence extends to the right to use lethal force when a home is trespassed, eveyone said I was wrong. But now it's a Law in Texas.

Next prediction? I must work on it!
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Madame Ngo, quit feeding your son cheese! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By CaptnMorgan Comments: 20601, member since Mon Jun 09, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 12:09 AM

Your Captain predict that Madame Ngo will
kick her son out of the house before summer.

I feel for the poor lady, it took us 35 years
to get rid of our sons!

Now, after a few short years, they all have
a wife, a job, a house and three cars in the parking.

MADAME!!!! Stop cooking with cheese!!!

youtube.com . . .
www.metafilter.com . . .
Stop cooking with cheese!
December 17, 2006 7:23 AM
Here in Canada, the dairy farmers' association had been promoting
the buying of cheese and cooking with cheese, running a series
of reverse-psychology TV commercials.
www.cossette.com . . .

The most memorable part from the commercials, the crotchety
granny screaming "Can't get your kids to leave home?
Stop cooking with cheese!", had already gone viral,
as evidenced by these two fan-videos on youtube.
youtube.com . . .
But, alas, it looks like the Screaming Cheese Lady's days are
numbered. Canada's dairy farmers have halted their
"Stop cooking with cheese" advertising campaign
www.theglobeandmail.com . . .
after a wave of complaints about their latest TV ad.
posted by Quiplash (78 comments total)

www.cossette.com . . .
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By BurnParis Comments: 19543, member since Thu Mar 13, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 01:24 AM
Edited by BurnParis (59538) on 2007-05-19 01:26:12

.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By BlitzGaulAgain Comments: 13880, member since Fri Sep 09, 2005
On Sat May 19, 2007 01:29 AM

Shon, I just put down 5 K on JLS's Boeing prediction and all my fucking karma dissappeared. WTF! Karma disappearance is not a rare occurence anymore. Fix it!
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 2)  en>fr fr>en
By Reverend_Al Comments: 5561, member since Thu Aug 07, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 01:32 AM

blitz, he said in the referenced link that it would cost all your karma. Is that for creating a prediction, or buying into one? :?
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By BlitzGaulAgain Comments: 13880, member since Fri Sep 09, 2005
On Sat May 19, 2007 01:43 AM

Buying, but I only put down 5 ks.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By Atlanticmember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 29963, member since Fri Feb 20, 2004
On Sat May 19, 2007 02:29 AM

I have a couple of questions:

- Can we add and view comments on those predictions threads?
Where do the predictions details appear?
Can we see who predicted what?

- About the deadline, if the prediction deadline matches with the event's date (787 rollout or Tour de France final stage) it will be possible to bet when the outcome is almost certain?
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By Atlanticmember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 29963, member since Fri Feb 20, 2004
On Sat May 19, 2007 02:35 AM

Damn, is it Uncle_Meat dealing with the calculations?

I had 41 K to bet, I used only one, and then it tells me I used fourty and that I have minus-one left!!! ROFL

41 - 1 = -1

Damn metric system! :(
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 2)  en>fr fr>en
By Atlanticmember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 29963, member since Fri Feb 20, 2004
On Sat May 19, 2007 02:50 AM


Illustration
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By LondonCalling Comments: 7794, member since Fri Jan 24, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 03:15 AM

I posted a market for today's FA Cup final - the English equivalent of the Superbowl. Presumably, SimpleFrench has fallen asleep. If he doesn't OK it soon the game will be over.
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re: Prediction Market now open for business! (karma: 1)  en>fr fr>en
By Reverend_Al Comments: 5561, member since Thu Aug 07, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 03:17 AM

It took 30 of my karma for starting a new prediction. :(
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By Atlanticmember has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 29963, member since Fri Feb 20, 2004
On Sat May 19, 2007 03:44 AM

This prediction thing is a rip off :(
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re: Prediction Market now open for business!  en>fr fr>en
By whizz2member has saluted, click to view salute photos Comments: 15983, member since Wed Apr 23, 2003
On Sat May 19, 2007 05:30 AM

The way I see it, this speculative karma market is going to kill all creativity on FF. Why bust your ass making photoshops when you can get easy karma over a bet, or when people won't have any ks left to rate you for a funny post?
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